Clarksville, TN – Next week, fresh economic figures will arrive, but none of the reports, including the November employment report, are expected to sway the Fed away from raising short-term interest rates on December 14th.
Job growth is expected to have been moderately strong in November, but keep a close eye on average hourly earnings, which have suggested the wage pressures are building (note that the average hourly earnings figures can be quirky – they are often revised the next month – but the trend is higher).
Indices
Last | Last Week | YTD return % | |
DJIA | 19083.18 | 18903.82 | 9.52% |
NASDAQ | 5380.68 | 5333.97 | 7.45% |
S&P 500 | 2204.72 | 2187.12 | 7.87% |
MSCI EAFE | 1625.20 | 1632.66 | -5.31% |
Russell 2000 | 1342.09 | 1309.49 | 18.15% |
Consumer Money Rates
Last | 1 year ago | |
Prime Rate | 3.50 | 3.25 |
Fed Funds | 0.41 | 0.11 |
30-year mortgage | 4.18 | 3.95 |
Currencies
Last | 1 year ago | |
Dollars per British Pound | 1.245 | 1.513 |
Dollars per Euro | 1.055 | 1.062 |
Japanese Yen per Dollar | 113.33 | 122.74 |
Canadian Dollars per Dollar | 1.349 | 1.329 |
Mexican Peso per Dollar | 20.744 | 16.503 |
Commodities
Last | 1 year ago | |
Crude Oil | 47.96 | 43.04 |
Gold | 1189.30 | 1069.70 |
Bond Rates
Last | 1 month ago | |
2-year treasury | 1.14 | 0.88 |
10-year treasury | 2.38 | 1.86 |
10-year municipal (TEY) | 3.66 | 2.71 |
Economic Calendar
November 29 | — | Real GDP (3Q16, 2nd estimate) |
— | CB Consumer Confidence (November) | |
November 30 | — | ADP Payroll Estimate (November) |
— | Personal Income and Spending (October) | |
— | Chicago Purchasing Managers Index (November) | |
— | Fed Beige Book | |
December 1 | — | ISM Manufacturing Index (November) |
December 2 | — | Employment Report (November) |
December 5 | — | ISM Non-Manufacturing Index (November) |
December 14 | — | FOMC Policy Decision (Yellen press conference) |
January 20 | — | Inauguration Day |
February 1 | — | FOMC Policy Decision (no press conference) |
March 15 | — | FOMC Policy Decision (Yellen press conference) |
Important Disclosures
US government bonds and treasury bills are guaranteed by the US government and, if held to maturity, offer a fixed rate of return and guaranteed principal value. US government bonds are issued and guaranteed as to the timely payment of principal and interest by the federal government. Treasury bills are certificates reflecting short-term (less than one year) obligations of the US government.
Commodities trading is generally considered speculative because of the significant potential for investment loss. Markets for commodities are likely to be volatile and there may be sharp price fluctuations even during periods when prices overall are rising. Specific sector investing can be subject to different and greater risks than more diversified investments.
Tax Equiv Muni yields (TEY) assume a 35% tax rate on triple-A rated, tax-exempt insured revenue bonds.
Material prepared by Raymond James for use by its financial advisors.
The information contained herein has been obtained from sources considered reliable, but we do not guarantee that the foregoing material is accurate or complete. Data source: Bloomberg, as of close of business November 24th, 2016.